• The Lim Team at Keller Williams Realty
    The Lim Team

    Keller Williams Realty Atlantic Partners

    Serving St. Johns County and Duval County Florida

    904.371.9654

Jacksonville Florida Real Estate Website

Visit our Jacksonville Short Sale blog

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  • #9 Best Cities to Buy a Home
    Jacksonville was ranked #9 by Forbes in Best Cities to Buy a Home 07/2008
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    Jacksonville was name #3 in The 25 Best U.S. Cities for Jobs list by Forbes 02-2007
  • #6 Best Places for Retirees
    #6 in Best Places for Retirees by Forbes 11/2007
  • #4 America's Best Cities for the Outdoors
    Jacksonville was named #4 in America's Best Cities for the Outdoors by Forbes. 05-2008
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    Jacksonville was awarded #8 in the Best Cities for Bargain House-Hunters list. 2/2008
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Disclaimer

  • All information and data on this blog is for informational purposes only. The views expressed here are only opinions. The Lim Team makes no representation as to accuracy, completeness, currentness, validity or appropriateness of application of information to your situation. You should always consult a qualified real estate professional familiar with your situation. The Lim Team will not be liable for any errors, omissions, or inaccuracies. The Lim Team will not be responsible for any losses, injuries, or damages resulting from the viewing or use of this blog. All information is provided on an as-is basis. In addition, we find that from time to time our opinions change since change is the nature of the real estate market and business. Being a great real estate professional requires recognizing, changing, learning and adjusting techniques with the constant market changes. This blog is designed to share information and opinions as of the date of the post. Old posts are not removed just because conditions and opinions may have changed in the market.

April 28, 2009

Jacksonville Real Estate Multiple Offers? YES!!! Buyers shouldn't play around.

We have had a few multiple offer situations in the past month working in the Jacksonville real estate market.  When the home is priced right this is a big possibility. 

From a buyer's standpoint, it doesn't pay to mess around.  See that home priced at $300,000 that is already a great buy based on everything else you've looked at?  Don't offer $250,000 on it if you want to make sure you get it. 

Smart listing agents know how to price a home correctly to get it sold.  When the Jacksonville home is already priced really well, you risk losing it if you decide you are going to offer a lot less.  When you structure your offer, structure it off of what the comps show and what the home is worth in today's Jacksonville real estate market.  Don't try to structure your offer based on a certain percentage off of asking price.  This is a losing strategy.

Case in point.  Last week we had an offer come in that was silly.  The house was already bargain priced, but the buyer wanted to get an additional 15% off of an already below market price.  Our sellers rejected the offer.  The same day we got in another offer that was much higher.  The offer was accepted.  A few days later the first buyer came back and offered much higher, this is a deal that would have worked had it been offered in the first place.  But it was already too late.  By wanting to push the envelope the buyer lost out on a home that they apparently really liked since they were willing to come back with a much higher offer.

We've seen this happen several times lately, don't let it happen to you.  Make educated offers in the Jacksonville real estate market.  Understand the comps and understand what the home is worth before making an offer.  Don't make an offer without looking at the comps. 

We want all of our buyers to get great deals.  There are times in the current Jacksonville real estate market where this means offering 70% of the asking price...there are other times that this means rushing in with a full price offer before the next guy does.

April 06, 2009

Where have all of the lower priced homes gone? Northwest St Johns County has less than a one month inventory for homes priced at or under $100,000.

Looking for options for my buyers who are buying at or around $100,000 or less in Northwest St Johns County I noticed that the inventory has been going down fast.

  • Northwest St Johns County homes on the market (all ages, all bedrooms/baths)  at $100,000 or below- 11

  • Northwest St Johns County homes under contract priced at $100,000 or below- 13

  • Northwest St Johns County homes sold in the past month priced $100,000 or below- 12

What does this mean?  We are looking at less than a 1 month inventory for homes in Northwest St. Johns County that are priced at $100,000 or below.  If you are a first time home buyer interested in this price range, you'd better hurry.  We have no way of knowing if this under-$100,000 supply will be replenished or if prices will start to climb above that mark.

There may be bond money for you to help you with your purchase, let us know if you are interested in trying to grab one of these homes.

March 05, 2009

Pricing Your Home Right...Even with the Jacksonville Real Estate Market Being a Buyer's Market, The Well Priced Homes Can Go Fast

Everyone knows that the Jacksonville Real Estate Market is still a strong buyer's market but why do so many sellers still insist on overpricing their homes?  A remarkable statistic is that in the Jacksonville Real Estate market the pending to active ratio of straight resale homes is only 9%.  In comparison, the pending to active ratio of distressed properties, this includes Jacksonville short sales and Jacksonville foreclosures, is a pretty healthy 39.5% and trending up.  For Jacksonville distress sales, the market is almost in balance between being a buyer and seller market.  With a perfect balance being 50%, the market for distressed properties in Jacksonville is only slightly weighted towards buyers.  At the same time, the straight resale real estate market in Jacksonville is heavily, heavily weighted towards buyers with the total of all straight resale homes under contract only being 9% of the total that are listed.

Why is this?  Because Jacksonville short sales and Jacksonville foreclosures price their homes correctly and at current market value.  They do not hang on to what their neighbors sold for two years ago or even what the house next door is priced at when their upgrades are better.  Jacksonville foreclosures, and correctly priced Jacksonville short sales, are priced in an objective manner based on comparables and making the home the most attractive home to potential buyers.

Last month we put a new listing on the market.  We explained to the seller the current conditions of the Jacksonville Real Estate market.  The motivated seller listened and chose to price his home to be the next one to sell in the community.  Within two weeks we had him under contract with a fully qualified buyer and we will be closing in a week and a half.

This seller was exceptionally smart.  He recognized the fact that by pricing his home to be the next home to sell, he was taking advantage of today's market instead of sitting by and watching his competitors sell (or not sell, as the case may be).  This savvy seller realized that by pricing his home correctly TODAY he would not be chasing the market down but would avoid future price decreases that have been coming rapidly in the past 3-6 months in the area.

By pricing his home correctly from the beginning, he saved himself a lot of money.  He didn't look at what he bought it for less than two years ago, or get emotionally attached to what it "used to be worth."  He simply accepted today's market and got his home sold.

In contrast, we listed a property for another seller six months ago.  Great couple.  Very nice, but unfortunately emotionally attached.  They began their listing priced in the correct range, but would not price their home to be the next one to sell, no matter what the statistics said.  We were able to bring the sellers three offers over the next couple of months.  We were able to negotiate one particular offer up to a price where the seller could have gotten out from under their less than two year old purchase with several thousand dollars.  This has been practically IMPOSSIBLE in this real estate market.  We excitedly brought them the offer amazed that we were able to get them such a good deal.  They rejected it.  They lost the buyer. 

Unfortunately, this was the last offer this nice couple received.  We went back to them over and over for price reductions based on the drops in the market value, which they refused because they felt like they could get more.  When it was time to renew their listing, we had to explain to them that for us to be able to keep it listed, we would have to reduce the price dramatically to get in line with the market, and the other homes in the community, or we simply could not sell it.  The price we had to recommend at that point was 10s of thousands less than the offer we had brought them months earlier which would have netted them several thousand dollars.  The sellers failed to take our advice and as a result will not be able to sell their home now without selling it short or bringing 10s of thousands to the table.  They missed their window of opportunity by failing to get ahead of the market.

If you are considering selling your Jacksonville home, please understand that you have to price your home ahead of the market.  If you don't have to sell, you should consider waiting.  If you have to sell and fear that you do not have enough equity, talk to a qualified Jacksonville short sale specialist.  Do not just talk to a general real estate practitioner.  Successfully listing and selling short sales requires a special level of training and expertise.  Call us at 904.371.9654 if you need help.  We are Jacksonville short sale specialists and we can give you an honest evaluation of what your home is worth.

March 03, 2009

February 2009 Jacksonville Florida Real Estate Market Update

Jacksonville Real Estate Market Statistics February 2009.   Data included for previous month and previous year:

 

  2/28/2009 1/31/2009 2/29/2008
 Jacksonville active real estate listings        10,532        10,565         11,677
 Jacksonville homes under contract          1,927          1,687          1,576
 Homes sold during month
(Jax Metro non-condo)

           599      

         525

       678  

 Inventory based on past month

   17.58    

      20.12    17.22    
 Inventory based on past year 13.01     12.94    11.66    
 Pending-to-active ratio overall market 18.30%     15.97%   13.50%   
 Pending-to-active ratio distressed property 38.54%     32.95%             N/A
 Distress Sales as Percentage of Total Jacksonville Real Estate Sales for past year 25.50%     23.64%   7.16%   
 Distress Sales as Percentage of Total Jacksonville Real Estate Sales for past month 43.41%     44.95%   14.45%   




March 01, 2009

Trying to sell your Jacksonville real estate? Rules for selling your home in Jacksonville's buyer's market. Put a lockbox on the home and be flexible.

We made the decision a long time ago that we won't take a listing if the seller will not allow a lockbox to be placed on the home.  Sellers have to be ready to have their home shown at any time, even with a very short notice.  In the current Jacksonville real estate market, with the large amount of inventory, buyers are not patient.  If you turn away a showing because the house is messy, or you are going out of town, or the agent (or homeowner) has to provide access because there is no lockbox...the buyer will probably never attempt to return to your home to view it later.

We have a 13 month inventory level in the Jacksonville real estate market currently based on the past year's sales.  We have a 19 month inventory level in Jacksonville if you base it on closed sales in the past month.  It is a very bad idea for a Jacksonville home seller to be anything less than completely accommodating.  There are plenty of other homes to see besides yours, and if you make it difficult, they will elect not to see yours.

Be flexible with timeframes.  If the agent has requested a showing between 10 and 12, don't insist on a one hour window.  Don't insist on a 30 minute window.  Don't insist that they move it to 11-1.  Just smile, say okay, and start cleaning!  When the agent is working with serious buyers...many times they are showing quite a few homes, and have arranged them into a common sense order, and can not be bothered with requests to shift and rearrange the appointments for a homeowner.  They will probably just skip your home.

Another bad idea is to have the agent, or homeowner, meet the buyer and agent at the home to provide access.  Buyers do not want to have to entertain an agent or homeowner when they simply want to see if the home may be right for them.  Buyers do not want someone to try to sell them the home.  Buyers can differentiate between the master bedroom and the kitchen.  Buyers even know which features are upgrades.  Buyers usually know within the first three to five minutes of entering the home whether it is something they are interested in.  They usually decide they are not interested if they feel like they can not freely look at the home because of interference.

Interestingly enough, we usually find the areas with the highest inventories are the hardest to schedule appointments in.  Jacksonville Beach, for instance, has roughly a 20 month inventory (almost 2 years!!!) based on both the past year's sales and sales for the past 30 days.  Yet, we find that a lot of homes there are difficult to show or come with a lot of requests (narrow that window, call the listing agent 30 minutes before so they can meet you, etc.).  At the same time, Southside and Mandarin have two of the lowest inventory levels in the area, both around 10 months based on the past year's sales and 15 months based on the past 30 days sales, but these are the easiest homes to show.  Perhaps there is a lesson to be learned.

If you are selling your home in this market, you have to be serious about the task.  This includes making your home easily accessible and pricing it right.  Do not hire someone because they tell you want you want to hear.  Hire someone who is not afraid to tell you the truth if you want to be successful in selling your home.

February 21, 2009

Jacksonville Florida Real Estate Market: Inventory Levels around Jacksonville and the beaches including Southside, Mandarin, North St Johns County and Ponte Vedra Beach.

Jacksonville Real Estate Market Inventory Level

Inventory Based on past 12 Months Sales

Inventory Based on Past 30 Days Sales

Pending to Active Ratio All Properties

Pending to Active Ratio Distressed Properties

Jacksonville Real Estate Market (Non-Condo) 12.87 18.73 18.63% 37.50%
Jacksonville Real Estate Condo Market 18.82 28.32 16.69% 20.78%
Southside Jacksonville Real Estate Market          10.34          14.81 18.13% 41.46%
Mandarin Real Estate Market          10.07          15.19 19.00% 37.50%
Northwest St Johns County Real Estate Market          11.95 21.74 20.00% 39.52%
Northeast St Johns County Real Estate Market          15.74 44.60 10.76% 31.71%
Ponte Vedra Beach Real Estate Market          21.46 35.53 9.38% 56.41%
Jacksonville Beach, Neptune Beach & Atlantic Beach Real Estate Market          19.49 22.00 13.84% 43.18%


The overall Jacksonville Florida real estate market has an inventory level of 12.87 months based on the past year.  Based on the past 30 days of sales this level is currently at 18.73, down from 22 months just one month ago.  This is an indicator that Jacksonville real estate market activity is picking up.  We have seen the pending to active ratio go from around 14.5% a month ago to today's 18.73%, a healthy jump in current activity.  This demonstrates that buyer are putting down contracts at a higher rate than they were.  Although it's still a strong buyers market, it's moving closer to healthy territory than we have seen it in a long time.

The most balanced sub-market we see today is in the Southside Jacksonville area.  Southside has an inventory level of just over 10 months based on the past year and 14.81 months based on the past 30 days sales.  This is down from Southside Jacksonville's real estate market inventory that, just a month ago, was at 10.74 based on the past year and 21.76 months based on the past 30 days.  This change in the 30 day inventory level represents a significant increase in home buying for this area.  The active to pending ratios we see for Southside Jacksonville is up roughly 2% from a month ago for the overall Southside Jacksonville Real Estate Market.  For distressed properties (Short Sales and Foreclosures) in the Southside Jacksonville Real Estate Market the pending to active ratio is up 5% from just a month ago.  These numbers indicate more buyers are putting down contracts.

The sub-markets where buyers have the biggest advantage today is out at the beaches.  Jacksonville Beach, Neptune Beach, Atlantic Beach and Ponte Vedra Beach are all demonstrating a real estate market that is highly weighted towards the buyers. 

The Ponte Vedra Beach real estate market has seen the pending to active ratio go up in the past month from a low of 5.76% to 9.38%.  An interesting note is that the pending to active ratio for Ponte Vedra Beach distressed properties has increased from 20.93% a month ago to a balanced 56.41% pending to active ratio.  This indicates that although Ponte Vedra Beach has a very weak real estate market currently overall, in the area of Ponte Vedra Beach short sales and Ponte Vedra Beach foreclosures, it is now a balanced market, with no advantage to buyers!  Buyers are apparently hungry for bargains in Ponte Vedra Beach.  Remember, this is indicative of buyers getting off the fence and entering into contracts with sellers...we can not predict how many of these will go to closing.  Inventory levels in Ponte Vedra Beach have remained steady for the past month based on the past year's sales.  The inventory levels based on the past 30 days sales have gone down from 47 months to today's inventory level of 35.53 months.  This indicates a pickup in the pace of Ponte Vedra Beach real estate sales.

For the Jacksonville Beach, Neptune Beach and Atlantic Beach sub-market, numbers have remained very steady in comparison today compared to a month ago.  The pending to active ratio has gone up a little over 1% in the past month.  The beaches inventory level based on sales for the past 12 months has remained almost completely unchanged.  The inventory level based on sales for the past 30 days has dropped only 2 months of inventory since last month this time.  This is an indicator that the Jacksonville Beach, Neptune Beach and Atlantic Beach real estate markets do not seem to be picking up as fast as some of our other sub-markets and the Jacksonville real estate market overall.

We will continue to follow this for you and let you know the conditions of the Jacksonville real estate market as they develop.  For expert, reliable help from a team of real estate professionals who really understand the Jacksonville real estate market call us!

February 19, 2009

February 19, 2009 Jacksonville Real Estate Market Update. Proof that the Jacksonville Market is healthier in 2009 than it was at the same time in 2008.

Jacksonville Real Estate Market Statistics

  • Active Listings in the Jacksonville Real Estate Market (non-condo)today- 10,465
  • Active Listings in the Jacksonville Real Estate Market, one year ago- 11,780
  • Pending Listings in the Jacksonville Real Estate Market (non-condo) today- 1,906
  • Pending Listings in the Jacksonville Real Estate Market, one year ago - 1,550
  • Percentage of active listings that are distressed properties - 24.96%
  • Percentage of active Jacksonville real estate listings that are straight resales - 64.03%

Jacksonville Real Estate Market Inventory Levels

  • Months of Inventory in Jacksonville Real Estate Market today Based on sales for the past year - 12.89
  • Months of Inventory in Jacksonville real estate market, one year ago,  based on sales for prior year - 11.72
  • Months of Inventory in Jacksonville Real Estate Market today Based on sales for the past 30 days -  19.90
  • Months of Inventory in Jacksonville Real Estate Market, one year ago,  Based on sales for the prior 30 days  - 20.38

Jacksonville Active-to-Pending Ratios

  • Active-to-Pending Ratio for overall Jacksonville Real Estate Market today- 18.21%
  • Active-to-Pending Ratio for overall Jacksonville Real Estate Market, one year ago - 13.16%
  • Active-to-Pending Ratio for straight resales in the Jacksonville Real Estate Market - 9.18%
  • Active-to-Pending Ratio for Distressed Properties (Jacksonville Short Sales and Jacksonville Foreclosures) - 37.14%

Jacksonville Real Estate Market Sales Breakdown

  • Percentage of Jacksonville Real Estate Sales past 30 days that were distressed properties - 45.25%
  • Percentage of Jacksonville Real Estate Pendings that are distressed properties - 50.89%
  • Percentage of Jacksonville Real Estate Sales past 30 days that were straight resales - 42.21%
  • Percentage of Jacksonville Real Estate Pendings that are straight resales - 9.18%

Summary of Jacksonville Real Estate Market Conditions

Our inventory levels are heading in the right direction.  Our inventory levels based on Jacksonville real estate sales for the past twelve months seems to be headed down.  At the same time the Jacksonville real estate inventory level based on the past 30 days of sales has gone down as well.  Remember, this is the one that is more of a "rapid indicator" of the current market as this number will move faster than the inventory based on the past year as the market picks up.  Total listings are down and pendings are up.  While only a quarter of the active Jacksonville real estate listings are distressed properties, over half of all homes under contract in the Jacksonville Real Estate market are Jacksonville short sales or Jacksonville foreclosures.  There are more Jacksonville distressed properties going to closing right now than straight resales.  That is, in general, because the pricing is better and that's what Jacksonville home buyers care about right now...PRICE!

Our pending to active ratio is an encouraging 18.21%.  Though it is not in the 50% territory, which would indicate a healthy balance between buyer and seller, it is up more than 5% from last year this time.  Our real estate market is healthier now than it was last year and seems to be moving towards balance.  The active to pending ratio on distressed properties is almost 40%!  This is a fabulous number.  This indicates that the Jacksonville distressed property market which includes Jacksonville short sales and Jacksonville foreclosures is moving rapidly towards balance!  As the active to pending ratio travels up, it will be harder and harder for the buyers to get an exceptional deal.

February 07, 2009

February 7, 2009 Jacksonville Real Estate Market Update

Jacksonville Real Estate Market Statistics

  • Active Listings in the Jacksonville Real Estate Market (non-condo)today- 10,577
  • Active Listings in the Jacksonville Real Estate Market, one year ago- 11,615
  • Pending Listings in the Jacksonville Real Estate Market (non-condo) today- 1,762
  • Pending Listings in the Jacksonville Real Estate Market, one year ago - 1,437
  • Percentage of active listings that are distressed properties - 25.28%
  • Percentage of active Jacksonville real estate listings that are straight resales - 63.29%

Jacksonville Real Estate Market Inventory Levels

  • Months of Inventory in Jacksonville Real Estate Market today Based on sales for the past year - 13.05 Months
  • Months of Inventory in Jacksonville real estate market, one year ago,  based on sales for prior year - 11.28 Months
  • Months of Inventory in Jacksonville Real Estate Market today Based on sales for the past 30 days - 20.9 Months
  • Months of Inventory in Jacksonville Real Estate Market, one year ago,  Based on sales for the prior 30 days,  - 19.17

Jacksonville Active-to-Pending Ratios

  • Active-to-Pending Ratio for overall Jacksonville Real Estate Market today- 16.66%
  • Active-to-Pending Ratio for overall Jacksonville Real Estate Market, one year ago - 12.37%
  • Active-to-Pending Ratio for straight resales in the Jacksonville Real Estate Market - 8.44%
  • Active-to-Pending Ratio for Distressed Properties (Jacksonville Short Sales and Jacksonville Foreclosures) - 33.92%

Jacksonville Real Estate Market Sales Breakdown

  • Percentage of Jacksonville Real Estate Sales past 30 days that were distressed properties - 45.71%
  • Percentage of Jacksonville Real Estate Pendings that are distressed properties - 51.48%
  • Percentage of Jacksonville Real Estate Sales past 30 days that were straight resales - 42.51%
  • Percentage of Jacksonville Real Estate Pendings that are straight resales - 32.07%
  • One Year Ago:
    •  Percentage of Jacksonville Real Estate Sales in the prior 30 days that were distressed properties - 17.49%
    • Percentage of Jacksonville Real Estate Sales in the prior 30 days that were straight resales - 63.7%


  A couple of the new trends I see are very positive.  First, the number of listings are down.   So it appears that sellers who don't have to sell may be starting to realize they need to wait this cycle out. 

Another very positive trend is that the active-to-pending ratio is up to the highest level we've seen in a while and up more than 4% over last year at this time and is getting close to the 18.88% it was during the same week two years ago when the Jacksonville real estate market significantly healthier, although it was in a downswing.  This also indicates current action.

The number of pendings are up from last year.   This indicates that more buyers are starting to take action.  On a very positive note, our pendings are only 160 below this time in 2007.    Keep in mind, the pendings mean nothing if they don't ultimately make it to the closing table, something that can not be predicted accurately at this point.  Active and pending numbers are a snapshot in time and indicate current activity are do not translate into closed sales.  These numbers are also highly dependent on the information being put into the system correctly and the validity of the sales contracts behind the pendings. 

Months of Inventory levels are still high, but remember they are based on historical numbers.  The inventory numbers are calculated based on the past 12 months sales and past 30 days of sales, both of which have been weak which would keep the number higher.  If we see closings start to happen at a higher rate, we should see the inventory based on the past 30 days trend down much faster than the inventory based on the past 12 months.  If all of the pendings were to close in the next 30 days, the market would fall to an inventory level of only 6 months based on that 30 day period.  That is how quickly we could see the Jacksonville real estate market turn around if the different factors were to fall into place.

If you are a Jacksonville home buyer who has been trying to decide if it is the "right time" to buy...don't sit it out until it's too late.  Remember, after the seller's catch on to a shift, the dynamics will change radically.  Get a good buyer's agent and get into the game.  Let us know if we can help you!

February 05, 2009

New Publix Open Today in World Golf Village Area At Shoppes Of MuraBella at Pacetti and SR 16

This eagerly anticipated Publix opened this morning at the Shoppes of MuraBella just outside the MuraBella subdivision and right outside the gates of the King and Bear.  The store hours are 7 am to 10 pm daily.  The Pharmacy is open 8 am to 8 pm during the week, 9 am to 7 pm on Saturdays and 11 am to 6 pm on Sundays.  The phone number is 904-940-2889 and the number to the pharmacy is 940-2894.

A year ago, residents of the World Golf Village area had to drive to CR 210 for a pharmacy and drive to I-95 and International Golf for the small Publix situated there.  Many times you would have to drive to the Publix on 210 for a better selection.

With this new Publix, a CVS and Walgreens all opening over the past year at the corner of International Golf/Pacetti and SR 16 residents are ecstatic!

February 03, 2009

10 Day Sale for Real Estate? Really? Do Buyers Fall For This?

I was just watching the news and started laughing when I saw a rider on a real estate for sale sign during a special on the housing market (imagine that!  A news show running a program on the housing market ;-)  ).  The sign stated "10 Day Sale" then something about a special price.  Does that really work for buyers?

A good buyer's agent will get you a good deal whether there is an advertised "sale" or not.  I was just curious if this has some type of psychological effect on a buyer.  My feeling is that buyer's are smart, savvy and clearly feel that every home is on sale 365 days a year in this market.

What do you buyers out there think?

January 31, 2009

Why We Always Tell the Truth About the Jacksonville Real Estate Market.

We only believe in telling the truth about what is happening in the Jacksonville Real Estate market.  And we know the Jacksonville real estate market.  We spend hours every day following market activity and accumulating and analyzing Jacksonville real estate statistics and well as showing, selling and negotiating deals.  We have been doing this for years and know what the trends are and the direction we are headed.  A random statistic by itself is somewhat useless.  To know what that statistic means, you must be able to watch the trend.  This is what we do.

Do we get every listing because we always tell the truth?  No.  We have found that many sellers really don't want the truth, they just want someone to feed them a version of the story that they are comfortable with.  And there will always be someone there willing to do this....just not us. 

Whether you are a buyer or seller you can always depend on us to tell the truth about the Jacksonville real estate market and you can count on us to know.

Every day we hear those that say "things have really picked up" and we think that the ones saying this probably really believe it.  But the truth is that while there do seem to be more buyers looking, that seems to be all they are doing.  January 2009 sales are lower than we have ever seen. BUT WE DO NOT THINK THIS IS A BAD MARKET.  Yes, we did just say that.  You see, it's all relative. 

If you are a seller wanting to get out of your home without selling short, it is a bad real estate market.  If you are a buyer wanting to get a good deal, now is the best time we have ever seen to buy a home.  It is a phenomenal market for you!

From 2004 through 2006 we saw a buyer frenzy taking place in the Jacksonville real estate market.  This was a market that was truly incredible for sellers.  For sellers it was an awesome real estate market.  They could turn down offers because they knew that the next one would be better.  At the same time, it was not a good market for buyers.  Buyers were paying full price, and many times over full price, to secure a home.  Looking back it was a terrible real estate market for buyers.  But when the media and the industry talks about this time, it was a "great" real estate market.  But this is a generalization that can not be applied to all aspects of the market, particularly to the buyers. 

Times have changed and it has become just as much of a buyer's market as it was a seller's market back then.  So it is amazing to see how many buyers are still sitting on the sidelines not taking advantage of it when a couple of years ago you couldn't have talked them out of it.

We think that buyers are waiting for the "bottom."  The bottom seems to have more star power at this moment than Brad and Angelina.    The bottom, however, is stealthy, sneaky and will come in disguise.  You will NOT know the bottom when you see it because it will look like every other real estate day.  Here's an important tidbit for you...we don't think you'll know that the bottom has already breezed in and out without so much as a wave in your direction until six to twelve months after it's cleared out of the area.  Only history proves a bottom and it takes several months of a trend to know that the bottom was hit.  After that, we really think that it will take months to get the message out because it will not be a message of doom and gloom. If you are waiting on the bottom you will most likely miss it. 

January 27, 2009

What percentage off of asking price should you offer on that Jacksonville real estate? Do not make an offer this way! The correct way to make an offer.

I hear the question a lot.  I see the same question quite a bit when I'm browsing around forums on the internet.  We definitely see it in the offers that come in on our Jacksonville listings.  I'm not sure why buyers are so convinced that they are supposed to offer a certain percentage off of asking price when trying to buy Jacksonville real estate.  The reality is that is the way the majority of buyers look at the process.  This is faulty reasoning and can hurt you in your real estate transaction.

Here is a simple example:

House A and House B are identical floor plans, same Jacksonville neighborhood, etc.

House A is priced at $400,000 and is the highest price in the neighborhood. 

House B is priced at $325,000 and is the best price in the neighborhood.

The owner of House A is willing to agree to 10% off of their $400,000 asking price while the owners of House B are standing firm at $350,000.  Which one is a better deal?

Does the fact that you got $40,000 off of the asking price make House A a better deal?  Well of course not.  However, many buyers will feel better about that house at the end of the day instead of the one that they couldn't get the sellers to reduce.  Looking at this example the error in this rationale is probably obvious to you.  But we see it happen every day.

If you are a Jacksonville real estate buyer, please understand that the percentage off of asking price you get is not indicative of a good deal.  Many homes today are fabulous deals even if you were to pay above asking price for them.  You have to somewhat "ignore" the asking price when analyzing the deal and look at the whole picture.

You need to see all of the comparable properties and analyze the situation.  You need to look at sales for the past 3 months (anything beyond that is likely to be overpriced right now due to the fourth quarter of 2008 seeing more substantial price drops).  But don't stop there.  You need to see (if not physically, on paper) every home that is comparable that is currently on the market.  This data is how you measure your deal.

Do not fall for the average percentage off of the asking price that Jacksonville real estate is selling for.  Do not take the word of someone else who tells you it is a good deal.  This is one of the largest financial decisions you will make in your life.  Ask for the facts and focus on the details that matter.  We help homebuyers every day and believe that you must be completely educated before making an offer in this market.  Let us know if we can help you!  904.371.9654.

January 25, 2009

January 25, 2009 Jacksonville Florida Real Estate Market Update

What an interesting month it has been in the Jacksonville real estate market.  With us closing the door on January at the end of this week, we will be keeping a close eye on the numbers.  Through this morning the month-to-date trend is very interesting and it appears that for the first time, the sales of distressed properties may possibly surpass straight resales in the Jacksonville real estate market.  For the closings month-to-date this has happened.  We'll have to see how the numbers look a week from today to know if that fact will hold.

There are 10,602 homes for sale (non-condo) in the Jacksonville real estate market this morning.  There are 1,610 homes under contract at this moment.  There have been 9,704 homes sold in the past year, and 479 sold in the past 30 days.

The pending to active ratio for the Jacksonville real estate market is 15.19%, still far from our benchmark 50% that is indicative of a balanced market.  This is the highest we've seen the ratio go since September of 2008 and a year ago at the same time this number was only 11.18%  At the same time in 2006 this ratio was at 18.20% and the Jacksonville real estate market inventory was only at 7 months.  At this point in time, as the pending to active ratio suggests we were already well into a buyers market.  At the same time, most in the area had no idea that we were in a buyer's market since the inventory still appeared to be somewhat low and could be attributed to being a seasonal drop.

We have a 13.11 month inventory in the Jacksonville market right now.  Last year at this time we had an 11 month inventory.  Today's level is down from the high of around 14 months we saw a few months ago.  The inventory level at the point the real estate market started to fall was at less than 4 months.

As more sellers who do not have to sell begin to take their homes off of the market, we should see the inventory level continue to go down. Today 64% of the homes on the market are straight resales while only 25% of the homes on the market are distressed properties.  Even though the number of straight resales almost triple the number of distressed homes on the market, only 32% of all homes that are under contract are straight resale while over 51% of all homes under contract are distressed properties.  The pending to active ratio for distressed properties is dramatically better, almost 31%,  while the pending to active ratio of straight resale properties is only 7.66%.  The straight resales that are selling are the ones who are able to price their homes competitively with the distressed properties.  Overpriced homes do not sell in this market and rarely get showings.  Buyers are rejected everything but the best priced homes.

If you are thinking about putting your home on the market, you have to price ahead of the market.  You owe it to yourself to get an upfront honest evaluation of what your home is really worth in today's market.  Do not overprice your home.  You are only going to cost yourself time and more money if prices continue to fall. 

If you are only the fence about buying, hop on off!  There are incredible values out there just waiting to be snapped up.  Just remember, if you want the best deal, look for an agent who really knows the market, is a short sale specialist, and does not shy away from distressed properties.  Call us if you need us!  904.371.9654.

January 18, 2009

January 18, 2008 Jacksonville Real Estate Market Update

January closings so far are extremely sluggish.  While we usually have a lot of closings in the last week of the month we have only had half of the closings so far in January as we had month to date last year.  So far this month there have only been 156 real estate closings in Jacksonville.  To give you some perspective, last year from January 1st-18th we had 309.  In 2007 this number was 413, 2006 had 487 and 2005 saw 471 closings in the same period.

The very interesting thing is that out of the 156 real estate closings, only 42% have been straight resale while over 46% have been distress sales consisting of foreclosures and short sales.

Of active listings currently on the market, 64% are straight resale while only 32% of pendings are straight resale.  As of today only 25% of actives are short sales and foreclosures but a remarkable 52% of pendings are fall into the distressed property category.  As the prices have dropped in recent months, straight resales are having a harder time competing as these numbers show.

We've seen 9,749 single family homes and townhomes (non-condo sales) sold in the past 12 months in the greater Jacksonville area.  This remains in line with what we've seen for the past 5 or 6 months.  For condo sales the number is 1,327 which has also remained fairly steady for the past half year.  We will continue to monitor this number closely as it seems we could be at or near a bottom in the number of transactions.

The Jacksonville real estate market (single family and townhomes) is sitting on a 13 month inventory level currently.  For condos we have an 18 month inventory.  In March of 2006 we were below 4 months for non-condo sales.

With interest rates at a ridiculously low level, high inventories and incredible values out there this is the best real estate market for buyers that I've ever seen.

Let us know if you would like to get started.


January 11, 2009

Percentage of list price sellers are selling their homes for is irrelevant. Buyers and Sellers need to let that statistic go.

I see this percentage quoted quite a bit.  In my opinion, this is the most useless statistic that is calculated in the real estate market.  If the seller overpriced the home to start with they are going to receive much lower in relation to asking price (or they SHOULD).  If the home is priced correctly then the seller is going to receive much more. 

This statistic measures absolutely nothing in this type of real estate market.  Jacksonville distressed properties are usually priced pretty well.  Many or most straight resales aren't priced as well because the motivation, and perceived ability to price at market, is different.  So when you talk about what Jacksonville area homes are selling for in relation to asking price it really means absolutely nothing. 

Buyers should definitely not get caught up in this.  The question is, "Is the home currently a good deal or is it overpriced?"  If it is a good deal you should negotiate based on the fact that it's a good deal.  If it is overpriced, then you should negotiate based on the fact that it is overpriced.  If, in this scenario, you are just worried about some average ratio to asking price you're going to end up getting a really bad deal in your real estate transaction.

If a Jacksonville property is a great deal, well, you should probably grab it before the next savvy buyer does.  Homes that are priced well go much faster than the average and it is not unusual to receive multiple offers on good properties that are priced well.  It's silly to try to apply an average ratio, that is created  with a lot of overpriced properties in the mix, to a property that is already a bargain.

If you are a buyer understand what constitutes a good Jacksonville real estate deal and act accordingly.  Don't ever ask what the average sales price is to asking price and apply that ratio to what the home is priced at.  Ever.  The correct way is to get a complete real estate market analysis.  Find out what has sold in the past three months, what is currently pending, and know exactly what else is out there and how the home you are interested in compares.  Based on this you can determine where your offer should start.  Do not put in an offer without making sure you are educated.  You don't want to buy a home then find out it wasn't a good deal.  Make sure your agent gives you all of the information and data that allows you to make an educated decision before a decision is made.  Don't get caught up in meaningless statistics.  And don't be one of those buyers that believes you have to get a certain amount off the asking price no matter how good the price may already be.  This can cause you to miss out on the home that is perfect for you.

January 06, 2009

January 7, 2009 Jacksonville Florida Real Estate Market Update

Currently we have 12.83 months on inventory for single family homes in the Jacksonville real estate market area.  We began 2008 with 10.66 months of inventory in the Jacksonville market.  The inventory went way up this past summer and fall...to a high of around 14 months, so the inventory has come back down.  Jacksonville Condos have an 18 month inventory currently.

In recent months we have seen some DRAMATIC price decreases in the Jacksonville market.  This has been due to the increase in foreclosures.  Banks have been creating new bottoms regularly and rapidly with foreclosures.  The percentage decrease has been remarkable in some neighborhoods.  Some neighborhoods are seeing home values around 50% of what they were selling for in 2006.  I am working on an analysis of a particular neighborhood so I can outline how it is unfolding to draw a picture for home buyers and home sellers.  I am amazed daily by prices homes are being listed for.

The banks bringing dramatic decreases to housing prices is just feeding the cycle.  When a bank does this, it makes it harder for their other homeowners with loans to sell their home when they need to.  Which forces a short sale.  If the short sale doesn't work out, then eventually it will lead to foreclosure.  This leads to further reductions in the price.  What I am observing is that the foreclosures that are coming on the market in the areas I follow closely are coming on dramatically under recent comps and current competition.  I have to ask, is this necessary to get the home sold?  The banks continue to complain about losses, however, does this behavior not magnify the losses? 

We deal with banks regularly with all of our short sales and we are amazed constantly by the decisions being made.  It's a great time to buy a home and take advantage of the lack of organization in the industry and get yourself a phenomenal deal before the before the problem begins to correct.

There are over 10,000 listings to chose from in the Jacksonville real estate market.  Here is the important part...2,645 of the 10,000 are distressed properties!  These Jacksonville Short Sales and Jacksonville Foreclosures are value priced and some are steals, listed at prices that we haven't seen in years and years.  It is such an exciting time to be a Jacksonville home buyer!

Now a few more Jacksonville real estate market stats for you:

  • 54% of the Jacksonville real estate listings (non-condo) currently under contract are distressed properties!  This is where the market is.  Straight home sellers are generally unable or unwilling to compete with the incredible pricing on these things.  About 55% of these pending listings are Jacksonville short sales and 45% are Jacksonville foreclosures. 

  • The Pending to Active ratio in the Jacksonville real estate market is 13.85% today for the overall market.  For the distressed properties, the pending to active ratio is almost 30%...a much healthier ratio than for the overall Jacksonville real estate market and much closer to a balanced market.

  • 33% of the sales in the past 30 days in the Jacksonville Real Estate Market are short sales and foreclosures.

  • 22% of Jacksonville real estate sales in the past year have been Jacksonville distressed properties--both short sales and foreclosures that have sold.  AT THE END OF 2007 THIS RATIO WAS ONLY 6%! 

  • There have been 9,748 homes sold in the Jacksonville real estate market (non-condo) in the past year. Last year at this time we were at 12,664 sold in the prior year.  This same week in 2007 we were around 17,000 homes sold in the prior 12 months.  For the same period ended 1/07/2006 we were double what we are today.    This is a very positive number because it appears that this number has stabilized and is no longer decreasing.  It has remained stable throughout the summer and into the fall and winter.  This statistic indicates that It is highly possible that the Jacksonville real estate market has bottomed in the number of transactions closed.  A very positive statistic that I will continue to keep my eye on and keep you posted.

December 23, 2008

December 23, 2008 Jacksonville Real Estate Market Update

Things have slowed down a bit so close to Christmas.  We have the lowest inventory level since spring of 2007 when we were just one year into our Jacksonville real estate market downturn.  While we are down around 1500 units from the height of our  inventory levels since the downturn began, our inventory level is still almost double that of spring 2006 when the slide quietly began.

In the past month 635 single family and townhome units (non-condo) have sold.  Last year, for the same dates, this number was 855.  In the same time period in 2006 when most buyers, sellers, the media and agents had not caught on to the fact that we were in a downturn, the number was 1,258.  Not too far off of the almost 1,500 we saw at one point during the summer of 2006.

Jacksonville Florida real estate market inventory levels are at 13.64 based on sales over the past year, and 17.3 months based on sales over the past 30 days.

Our pending to active ratio is just over 14%.  A healthy, balanced market hovers around the "middle" with 50% being perfectly balanced.  A high number indicates a strong seller's market.  At our lowest, that number was around 10%, this occurred for about a four week stretch last December and early January.  We have not seen this ratio that low since then, for the past quarter we have seen this number hover around the 14%-16% range.

The big news is in Jacksonville short sales and Jacksonville foreclosures!  This week for the first time, we surpassed the 50% mark for pendings.  Currently, 51.5% of all homes (non-condo) under contract in Jacksonville are short sales and foreclosures!  It seems that our inventory and sales have steadied somewhat and the price is being driven down by Jacksonville short sales and Jacksonville foreclosures.  See our Jacksonville short sale blog for more information on short sales and foreclosures in the Jacksonville area.

December 22, 2008

Palencia sees opening of Food Lion and Dunkin' Donuts!

Now you can grab some donuts and go get your groceries in the Palencia area.  Food Lion opened last week and is supposed to be a deluxe version of the store. 

We enjoyed breakfast at Dunkin' Donuts on Sunday and the store had quite a bit of traffic just in the few minutes we were in there.

Dunkin' Donuts and Food Lion are both located just south of the Palenicia entrance.  You can access the two stores from US 1 directly, or enter the Palencia subdivision then make the first right.  This is less than 5 minutes from World Golf Village and right down the road from all Palencia neighborhoods, Kensington and the new neighborhood of Las Calinas that is going up just north of Palencia. 

Food Lion and Dunkin' Donuts joins Starbucks and a few other stores and shops at the entrance to Palencia.  Burger King is opening here soon, it looks to be almost complete. 

If you want to live in this great developing Palencia area, we can help!

December 15, 2008

Benito's Italian Restaurant now open on CR 210

I love Benito's near the Avenues on US 1 in the Southside area of Jacksonville so I was very excited when I saw that one was coming to CR 210 in northwestern St Johns County.

I had a lunch meeting there today and it was incredible!  I greatly enjoyed the veal picatta and sweet tea.  Our waitress, Eva, was beyond wonderful!  If you go, request her, she takes service seriously and is very friendly.  She made sure I had my extra capers, going above and beyond.

This location of Benito's has an all-you-can-eat buffet at lunch time for $6.95 that includes salad or soup.

Benito's is located a couple of miles off of I-95 and CR 210 in northern St Johns County.  You go west when you get off of I-95.  It is located behind the Hess station on the left of CR 210, right before you get to Cimarrone Golf and Country Club and South Hampton.  It is located right beside the new La Nopalera.

December 13, 2008

Why foreclosures are bad for the Jacksonville real estate market and why you should care

It is a very common battle we encounter everywhere these days…on television, at parties, in your local Starbucks.Homeowners who were responsible and got into affordable homes and affordable mortgages are short on patience with talk of bailing out homeowners who can’t make their payments. This is completely understandable. Is their argument valid?  On the straight assumption that they were responsible and no homeowner currently in trouble was similarly responsible...of course, their argument is very valid and they should be angry about the dialogue

Unfortunately, the problem is much deeper and complex than that in the Jacksonville real estate market and other real estate markets around the country. This is a general discussion not specific to the Jacksonville Real Estate market.

We need to examine what happens once a homeowner gets in trouble and the resulting effects on everyone. 

Depending on the homeowner there are different things that we see happening.  Some just quit caring about the condition of their property and it becomes an eyesore in the neighborhood.  Some yards are overtaken by weeds until there is no grass left and the weeds become tree-like.  To charge a homeowner a fine when they already have no money left is not an effective deterrent.  They don’t have money to pay the fine and the HOA fees usually go late before the mortgage does.

HOA or Condo Association related problems begin to occur.  Many times the homeowner quits paying HOA dues.  Once this happens all homeowners suffer because there is less money coming into the HOA to take care of the facilities.  This can cause one, or a mixture, of two things.  Your HOA dues may rise.  Services may be cut to account for the decreased inflows while you pay the same fee.  Sometimes there will be some mix of the two options.  In any case it's not a favorable outcome for you.

That homeowner then may try to modify their mortgage(s) with the lender.  This is a largely unsuccessful process although there are some exceptions.  Many lenders have not adjusted their process to the market conditions or the current reality of what banks are dealing with.  Most homeowners are not going to benefit long term by a few late payments being tacked on to the end of their mortgage.  If they couldn’t pay the mortgage for the last few months, how is that going to enable them to pay next month?

So what to do?  Some just give up, live in the house "free" for as long as possible then let the bank take it at the end of the process.  An increasing amount of homeowners decide to try to sell the home.  Most homes bought within the past 5 years or so no longer have a fair market value sufficient to cover the liens and closing costs, unless there was a large initial down payment.  The homeowner will usually need to attempt a short sale.

Here's where we get into the crux of the problem. 

Whether they successfully short sale or whether their home goes into foreclosure then back on the market, this is problematic for other owners in the neighborhood, including the highly “responsible” homeowner who wants the “irresponsible” homeowner to pay.

Short sales and foreclosures, when done correctly, are priced at fair market value.  Unlike straight resale properties, they are unrestricted by what is owed on the home.  Once a price is put in a short sale, if buyers do not come, the price should be reduced if the listing agent is doing their job.  The market is rejecting the price and that’s what fair market value is, the price at which a willing buyer and willing seller come together.  As a result, the price on short sales and foreclosures are subject to frequent price drops until the home is sold.  The next short sale or foreclosure that comes on the market will be priced better than the other ones that are already sitting out there and so the cycle goes.

The value of your home, whether you are responsible or not, will continue to decrease until something breaks the cycle.  The hard line of not helping those who are in trouble is a little bit like cutting off your nose to spite your face at this point in the large cycle.  When your neighbor is "punished" by losing their home, you are also punished with them.  Fair?  No, but it is reality. 

There are a few things that can happen, either alone or in combination, to help break this cycle. 

  • More buyers have to enter the market now.  Homebuyers need to begin to take advantage of the incredible deals that are out there for the taking.
  • More banks have to lend money with fewer restrictions than currently exist, not more, for refinances and new purchases.
  • The inventory of distressed homes has to decrease.  This will happen as more people are able to modify their mortgages, find new jobs and correct other factors that have caused the hardship.  The reality is that the majority of delinquent homeowners may have been entirely responsible when they bought the home.  How do you continue to pay your mortgage when you have been laid off or your income has been drastically reduced.  Or what if you are relocated and have to sell your home you bought 2 years ago that is now worth $100,000 less now than it was then?  Do you have any option than to try to sell short for less than what is owed to the bank?  Either way, it drives down the prices of area homes
  • Banks have to be willing to realistically and meaningfully modify mortgages instead of using the money being given to them by taxpayers (against the will of most taxpayers) to buy up other banks and to give their executives raises which is largely what the money has been going to if you have been following the news.  Some of the banks who have gotten the largest bundles of money are the most impossible to work with on modifications and short sales. This just means they are going to be asking for more money because the underlying problems are not being fixed. It’s like having a leak in your gas tank. You can keep putting gas in the tank, but until the leak is fixed, you are always going to need a constant fill-up Banks have to quit doing things like refusing to talk to you about a modification until you are 90 days late, or refusing to modify your loan because you make too little money each month.If you made enough, you probably would not need the modification, right?
  • Banks have to speed up the short sale process.  Some have gotten really fast and efficient.Others are still highly challenged in their capability and understanding of dealing with short sales.  They have to understand that buyers don't care if they have thousands of short sales they are sorting through, so they need to quit whining about that and figure out how to make their process work more efficiently.  A buyer will eventually walk if the bank does not process the short sale fast enough.  In the meantime, the home may have become worth less than when the offer was submitted to the bank which means the bank will lose even more money. More buyers need to buy short sales instead of waiting until the homes are foreclosed. Do not be discouraged from buying a short sale because an agent, or your brother, or your neighbor told you they never go through.  They DO go through and they are usually great deals for buyers.  In our opinion a short sale usually presents a better opportunity for a great deal than a foreclosure.

If you find yourself in a situation where you have to get out from under your home, we can put it on the market and help you attempt a short sale.  We can also help buyers purchase short sales or foreclosures and get a great deal.  There are parameters for what the bank will take for the short sale to be successful.  We know how to put together a great offer that the average bank will accept because it mitigates their loss. 

If you are a responsible homeowner who has always made their payment on time, you are greatly appreciated and should be commended.  But please realize that regardless, you are being hurt by the current state of things.  Your fair market value has fallen just like the buyer who hasn’t made mortgage payments in six months.  To help that homeowner is to help yourself, even though it’s not fair.  Just be aware that everything is intertwined and your home value is not independent of everyone else’s value no matter how much that may unequal and unfair.

December 12, 2008

12-12-08 Jacksonville Real Estate Market Update

Pendings are up around 3% this week from last week. Pendings are up a big 25% from last year at this time.  In addition, the number of homes sold in the past 30 days has increased roughly 11% since last week.

There is still a 13.5 month inventory in the Jacksonville Real Estate market but this number has been trending down over the past couple of months.

Jacksonville Real Estate Short Sale and Foreclosure activity still remains strong.  These are the homes that are driving the current market and bringing down the prices.  Almost 50% of all homes pending in the area are short sales or foreclosures.  This number has been getting stronger every week.  As the prices go lower due to short sale and foreclosure activity, homeowners are finding it harder to meet the lower prices when they need to sell.  This results in overpriced listings from straight resales, while short sales and foreclosures can be priced at fair market value which is dictated by the real estate market.

Roughly 1/3 of all closings in the Jacksonville real estate market in the past 30 days were short sales or foreclosures.  In comparison, only 24% of homes on the market are short sales or foreclosures.

Short sales and foreclosures have a pending to active ratio of 30.5% while the overall market has a pending to active ratio of only 14.74%.  The lower the number, the more weighted towards buyers the market is.  The higher the number the more weighted towards sellers the market is.  A balanced market is somewhere in the middle around 50%.

Short sales and foreclosures are still where the action is.  If you are a straight reseller, you have to compete with them or your home is priced out of the market.  Many Jacksonville homeowners who have to sell for relocation reasons are finding they have to go the short sale or short payoff route even if they are not having financial problems because of the impossibility of selling their homes and getting back what they owe.

Let us know if you need help analyzing your situation.  We specialize in helping homeowners remedy their situations.

December 06, 2008

LovelyJacksonvilleHomes.com

We wanted to announce exciting improvements to our website at www.LovelyJacksonvilleHomes.com.  We recently implemented an awesome upgrade to this site.  This upgrade has made our site MUCH more user friendly.  It has made our site much easier for our clients and customers to navigate and use.

  • New navigation menu-makes it easier to locate area and housing information.  Find what you are looking for faster.

  • New custom searches for areas and neighborhood.  Find out with a click what is available in the Jacksonville area you are interested in within your price range.

  • New MLS search portal.  Now you can search for Jacksonville Real Estate and St Johns County homes for sale much easier and quicker.  Save your search and set up automatic e-mail updates.  Change your search and create new searches as often as you want.

  • Expanded search options.  Search by zip code, by region, by area, by MLS number, by subdivision or use our map-based search. 

We want to be your personal real estate consultants for life!  This is just another example of how we strive to make your real estate experience wonderful.  We are here to help you from beginning to end. 

December 04, 2008

12/04/08 Jacksonville Real Estate Market Conditions

There are currently 10,982 non-condo listings on the market in the Jacksonville area that we track.  This is down 2% from last week.  Pendings have remained relatively steady since last week.  Our Jacksonville Florida Real Estate Pendings ARE UP 17% OVER LAST YEAR THIS TIME!  At the same time the number of Jacksonville homes for sale has gone down 8%.

There are, however,  fewer homes sold in the past 30 days and the past year than this time last year.  This is perhaps a reflection of a higher fall-out rate and longer periods under contract than last year.

In the area of short sales and foreclosures, 32.5% of all homes sold in the past 30 days were short sales or foreclosures. 

Short sales and foreclosures continue to drive down the price of homes in the area while activity seems to be up.

December 03, 2008

Are your credit cards WRECKING your credit?

You might think that as long as you pay your credit cards on time you are okay.  In this credit climate that is no longer necessarily true.

One of the biggest factors that goes into your credit score is your credit utilization.  Ideally you want to keep your outstanding balances below 30% of your available credit.  So you're someone who has been careful to keep this ratio down?  Did you know that it could change instantly without you doing anything at all to change it?

Did you know that the credit card industry is actively lowering credit limits regularly now?  I heard a statistic a couple of days ago that demonstrated a substantial decrease in consumer credit lines is underway.  This is happening to those with good credit and bad credit alike.  There are reports of companies chasing down your balance by reducing your limit every time you reduce your balance, keeping you at or near your credit limit.  Some companies, such as American Express, are also cancelling the cards of some who pay them off in full.  In addition, they are reporting it as closed by the credit grantor which is a black mark on your credit report.  This can happen to you even if your payment record is perfect on your credit report.

Ratejacking, the practice of increasing your interest rate on your current balance as well as future purchases, is rampant.  This is happening to those with good credit and bad by previously reputable companies.  Miss a payment with Chase, or pay $1 less than your minimum payment, and expect your interest rate to go to 30%.  What will that do to your finances?

If you have 10,000 in available credit today, and are carrying a 3,000 balance, this is positive for your credit score.  What happens if American Express cuts your 10,000 credit limit to 4,000?  Assuming this is your only revolving credit account...this will be a devastating event.  Your debt ratio has gone from 30% to 75% overnight.  Or what if, even worse, they reduce it down to the 3,000 balance that you are carrying?  Your debt ratio goes to 100%.  That will seriously impair your credit score and have a big impact on you.  This may make it next to impossible to get credit anytime in the near future.  This can make it much harder to buy a home, a car, or other large ticket items.

Be aware of the situation that is unfolding.  If possible, start using cash as much as possible.  Create a household budget and stick to it.  Spend less than you make.  There is no better time to form good habits for the future than in this volatile credit environment.  Do what you can to protect yourself.

Do you have a credit card story? 

November 24, 2008

11-24-08 Jacksonville Real Estate Market Update

The Jacksonville real estate market seems to be a bit sleepy leading into Thanksgiving. This is a normal occurrence for this time of year. Our overall numbers are holding relatively steady.

Right now we have 13.78 months of inventory in Jacksonville single family homes (non-condo) based on the past twelve months. Based on the number of sales over the past month our inventory level is around 19 months.

The interesting trend that is developing is in the area of short sales and foreclosures. Currently, less than 23% of non-condo inventory in the Jacksonville area are foreclosures and short sales. However, over 47% of Jacksonville homes under contract are short sales and foreclosures! Why? Because foreclosures and short sales are have a greater likelihood than straight re-sales to be priced correctly. The percentage of pending sales that are foreclosures has been increasing rapidly, although the total number of listings that are foreclosures and short sales are creeping up slowly.

Our pendings are up over last year this time, along with our pending to active ratio. The number of buyers in the Jacksonville real estate market seems to be holding steady, the biggest change in the market we've had in the past year is that prices have become more reasonable. This is largely due to short sales and foreclosures.

Savvy buyers are buying…but they are buying the most aggressively priced homes. The homes that are not priced well are getting overlooked and remain unsold.

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  • Jay and Stephanie Lim
    We are part of the Lim Team. We are Real Estate consultants with Keller Williams Realty Atlantic Partners. Our office is located in Jacksonville Beach. We live in St. Johns County in the World Golf Village.